![]() ![]() Minihan’s prediction was quickly linked to statements in 2021 by the then head of the US Indo-Pacific command, Adm Philip Davidson, to a Senate committee hearing. The US secretary of state, Antony Blinken, said last year that China was determined to annex Taiwan “on a much faster timeline” but did not give a date. Later dates are often based on China’s intention, picking years with symbolic significance for the Chinese Communist party (CCP).īut it is not always clear. The director general of Taiwan’s national security bureau and its defence minister have said China would reach full invasion capability by, respectively, 20. ![]() Timelines within the decade are usually about China’s capability. ![]() Dated 1 February but leaked on social media days before, it ordered increased training and integration of the AMC and joint forces, to “deter, and if required, defeat China”. Minihan’s jingoistic nine-point plan set out his “preparation for the next fight”. “Xi’s team, reason, and opportunity are all aligned for 2025.” My gut tells me we will fight in 2025,” Minihan wrote. Beijing’s military is growing bigger and is increasing its coercive targeting and harassment of Taiwan. Around this impasse, tensions are escalating. ![]() It is a prospect Taiwan’s government and people vehemently reject. China’s government claims Taiwan as a province and its authoritarian leader, Xi Jinping, is set on what he terms ”reunification”, by force if necessary. ![]()
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